Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 7.935627 9.245115 10.655688 12.282523 14.101233 16.066057 18.343320
2025-03-09 6.112304 7.772918 9.682937 12.023170 14.793063 17.946530 21.786554
2025-03-16 4.825963 6.630345 8.827133 11.659392 15.172053 19.342079 24.619592
2025-03-23 4.061371 5.972702 8.417189 11.707429 15.948680 21.157027 27.953628
2025-03-30 3.434675 5.385005 7.995987 11.650310 16.525411 22.691959 30.953989
2025-04-06 3.003977 4.993691 7.769510 11.791100 17.318640 24.489816 34.314331
2025-04-13 2.648068 4.654702 7.564910 11.918027 18.065900 26.225329 37.627064
2025-04-20 2.413746 4.462730 7.539375 12.272644 19.116770 28.379159 41.541385
2025-04-27 2.185224 4.247185 7.450235 12.513147 19.999704 30.319047 45.214668
2025-05-04 1.933328 3.958736 7.217178 12.511267 20.517577 31.756203 48.230898
2025-05-11 1.605879 3.495402 6.660952 11.967620 20.197982 31.987178 49.564805
2025-05-18 1.391468 3.202121 6.348121 11.770037 20.366319 32.896570 51.852530
2025-05-25 1.182485 2.890678 5.976767 11.452848 20.336136 33.519689 53.762203
2025-06-01 1.030377 2.666867 5.732978 11.321218 20.576569 34.535769 56.254431
2025-06-08 0.875590 2.412216 5.406416 11.020839 20.524087 35.099390 58.087699
2025-06-15 0.786454 2.284005 5.299083 11.086134 21.056196 36.555140 61.267983
2025-06-22 0.695025 2.135361 5.136925 11.039466 21.394984 37.716271 64.029458
2025-06-29 0.633227 2.046034 5.081293 11.177722 22.042621 39.370043 67.569702
2025-07-06 0.576313 1.959061 5.021168 11.300780 22.664593 40.995831 71.100899
2025-07-13 0.543992 1.929700 5.076608 11.641340 23.670069 43.254202 75.652870
2025-07-20 0.505088 1.876387 5.075801 11.872213 24.489995 45.233194 79.812066
2025-07-27 0.452108 1.774611 4.959851 11.870515 24.896295 46.549616 82.961456
2025-08-03 0.370084 1.570949 4.594842 11.349295 24.346642 46.280441 83.599088